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Spatial Analysis of Czech Parliamentary Election: Comparison of Spatial Econometrics and Machine Learning
Černý, Jakub ; Šťastná, Lenka (advisor) ; Gregor, Martin (referee)
This thesis analyses the results of the Czech Parliamentary election in 2021 and attempts to explain the voting support of major political subjects by using aggregate data from Czech municipalities. Since the data evince spatial autocorrelation, it is necessary to specify a suitable spatial model. The thesis provides both empirical and economic evidence for the Spatial Durbin Error Model, which enables distinguishing the direct and indirect effects of particular independent variables and accounts for the spatial dependence of error terms. This method shows that variables describing the socio-economic characteristics of inhabitants, such as the share of entrepreneurs or people with university education, play the most significant role in explaining voting results and evince mostly the direct effects. On the contrary, variables describing municipalities, such as public spending or infrastructure, are more likely to impact the election result indirectly. Subsequently, the analysis is replicated using two tree-based machine learning algorithms and all models are evaluated based on their ability to predict the election results from unseen data. Even though machine learning methods estimate only relative variable importance instead of standard coefficients, this approach represents a perspective...
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Disinformation tendencies on selected news websites during the Czech parliamentary election 2017
Červenková, Markéta ; Zápotocký, Jan (advisor) ; Křeček, Jan (referee)
Dezinformační tendence na vybraných zpravodajských webech během voleb do Poslanecké sněmovny 2017 Markéta Červenková Abstrakt v anglickém jazyce The diploma thesis is dedicated to the topic of media manipulation and disinformation warfare in the context of an election. Over the past few years, a new breed of discussions about the influence of disinformation on political affairs has emerged. The aim of the diploma thesis is to investigate whether any disinformation tendencies or manipulative techniques have spread over the Czech media landscape during the Parliamentary election in 2017. In the first part of this work, the author will provide a theoretical background to the topic, including an explanation of the essential terms and current context of these phenomena. The second part includes the content analysis (complemented by hermeneutic text analysis) that is applied to selected news websites. As the result, the diploma thesis is supposed to provide the data about the source of information, the genre of the articles and specific manipulative techniques used in the selected media.
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Program and Profile Change of the Slovak National Party in 2006-2016
Goralková, Nikola ; Just, Petr (advisor) ; Kubátová, Hana (referee)
This bachelor thesis deals with the activities of the Slovak National Party in politics from 2006- 2010 and how their political profile has changed over time. After introducing the theoretical attitudes, there will be briefly described the nature of the party, more precisely the ideological background, its electorate and the history of the party from 1989 up until 2006 and the emphasis of the most crucial moments in during period. Subsequently, the work focuses on the evolution of the SNP in particular parliamentary terms, whereas the emphasis is put on the causes of successes and failures in parliamentary elections. This topic is linked with the question of fluctuation, which caused the fall in votes of numbers of votes for the SNP in certain cases. Within analyzed parliamentary terms, all attention focused on the beginning of the 2016-2020 parliamentary term, because the parliamentary election in 2016 started a fundamental change for the party. After being an out-parliamentary party for four years, the party again gained its seat in the parliament with a seemingly high percentage of votes. It became a part of the coalition and its leader, Andrej Danko, became Speaker of the National Council of the Slovak Republic. This work also identifies the scale of success in the realization of election...
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Political Development in Ukraine after Parliamentary Elections in October 2012 in Mirror of Czech Periodical Press
Čeplová, Eva ; Příhoda, Marek (advisor) ; Mokryk, Radomyr (referee)
This thesis deals with the reflection of the parliamentary elections in October 2012 in Ukraine and the subsequent political development in the country within the Eastern Partnership Summit held on 28 and 29. 11. 2013 in Vilnius in Czech periodicals, namely the dailies Právo, Lidové noviny, Hospodářské noviny and MF DNES. We emphasize especially the preparatory process of negotiations, which should lead to the signing of the association agreement. The first part describes the brief summarization of the major events that in the Ukraine in the period occurred. The key part is dedicated to the approach of periodicals. The articles we have divided into two at the Chapter informative articles and reports and comments and analytical articles.
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True reasons which lead people into polling station
Stránská, Veronika ; Knobloch, František (advisor) ; Kotlas, Petr (referee)
Diploma thesis "True reasons which lead people into polling station" is tasked to detect motivation which affects an electoral behaviour of citizens, concretely their active participation in an election of their political representatives, considering the matter of fact that elected incumbents are those who work out all measures of public policy. There is enforced the legitimizing character of election, which displays the decreasing voter turnout as pathological phenomenon destroying the basics of democratic society, and sight on elections as an institution mediating between citizens and shape of implemented public policy. The theoretical part of thesis gives an overview of various concepts interpreting a voter turnout as an effect of endogenous and exogenetic factors. The paradigm are the theory of sources and the theory of representation, accenting on importance of the endogenous factors, and contextual theory, theory of motivation and racional choice theory, referring to key influence of the exogenic element. The empirical part of thesis, making use of personal research, verifies practically the theoretical knowledge and produces factual predication about motivational elements of electoral behaviour in one municipality in district of Hradec Králové. The confrontation of theoretical knowledge and...
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